Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - ROUND 9

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Monjasa Park (Fredericia)

Referee: Dommerudveksling N. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Fredericia		Helsingør

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.64	4.3	4.45	Watch
	1.64	4.48	4.63
	1.78	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.65	4.4	4.45	Watch
	1.62	3.95	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.81)	4.14 ↑ (3.85)	4.4 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredericia
56.2%

Draw
22.6%

Helsingør
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.1%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

23.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Helsingør has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingør than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Fredericia - Helsingør Predictions

Users Predictions: Fredericia will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Birkso V. (G) 4. Fischer M. 8. Wohlgemuth M. 18. Juelsgaard J. 14. Christensen F. 24. Hetemi L. 21. Berger S. 12. Carstensen F. 15. Simonsen E. 10. Rojkjaer N. 11. Jakobsen A.	41. van Bladeren S. (G) 22. Karlsen F. 3. Helstrup F. 2. Enghardt K. 88. Norouzi D. 14. Christensen M. 21. Marcus R. 15. Linden R. 10. Hasani F. 9. Drost O. 11. Etim M.
Substitutes
16. Bach T. 3. Brinch J. 19. Dall E. 6. Gertsen J. 22. Jessen J. 5. Juhl M. 7. Marcussen G. 33. Mehder F. (G)	43. Bagger N. 46. Bexheti D. 24. Bill M. 39. Brems M. 25. Hvid A. 4. Knudsen M. 31. Petersen H. (G) 6. Vadstrup J. 29. Wass E.
Coaches
Hansen M.	Pedersen D.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 2.

Fredericia in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Helsingør is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fredericia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Fredericia have a series of guest games.

In this match Fredericia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fredericia to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredericia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fredericia
Danish Landspokal Cup
06.09.23	Dalum IF - Fredericia	1:8 ✺
Danish 1 Division
01.09.23	Vendsyssel - Fredericia	0:2 ✺
27.08.23	HB Køge - Fredericia	0:0 ✺
22.08.23	Fredericia - Horsens	2:0 ✺
18.08.23	B.93 Copenhagen - Fredericia	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWTWW
- FC Helsingør
Danish Landspokal Cup
06.09.23	Skjold - Helsingør	2:5 ✺
Danish 1 Division
03.09.23	Helsingør - Hobro	1:3 ✺
26.08.23	Kolding IF - Helsingør	4:0 ✺
23.08.23	Helsingør - Hillerød	1:6 ✺
18.08.23	Horsens - Helsingør	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
13.11.22	Fredericia - Helsingør	4:1
05.08.22	Helsingør - Fredericia	3:2
06.05.22	Helsingør - Fredericia	2:1
17.04.22	Fredericia - Helsingør	4:0
08.11.21	Helsingør - Fredericia	4:1
17.09.21	Fredericia - Helsingør	2:4
16.05.21	Helsingør - Fredericia	2:1

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