Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Round 8

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Capelli Sport Stadion (Koge)

Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	HB Køge		Fredericia

	1	X	2
	6	5.25	1.4
	6	5	1.38
	7	5	1.38	Watch
	6.7	5.44	1.37
	6.23	5.17	1.41	Watch
	6.52	5.2	1.39	Watch
	7	5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.49 ↑ (6.4)	5.15 ↓ (5.3)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HB Køge
14.4%

Draw
18.2%

Fredericia
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

17.6%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

17.8%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for HB Køge aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

HB Køge - Fredericia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bayrak B. (G) 26. Arias J. 4. Bonnesen H. 6. Chacon M. 5. Culhaci G. 33. Gothler A. 2. Gudmann M. 7. Jensen M. 28. Larsen G. 3. Larsen S. 11. Rothmann J.	90. Birkso V. (G) 16. Bondergaard A. 14. Dahl A. 8. Jessen J. 18. Juelsgaard J. 17. Kristjansson D. F. 21. Lindekilde J. 13. Madsen W. 7. Marcussen G. 98. Mucolli A. 5. Rieper F.
Substitutes
9. Dhaflaoui Y. 22. Jakobsen M. 21. Jakobsen N. 30. Jalaei S. 24. Javany L. 10. Jensen Tue C. 8. Khan M. 12. Talyspayev D. (G) 14. Weah P.	3. Andersen A. 97. Buch O. 19. Dall E. 9. Egelund P. 23. Eriksen M. (G) 20. Haarbo D. 4. Kudsk J. 2. Thogersen D.
Coaches
Pedersen N.	Hansen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
20', Madsen W. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Mucolli A. ⚽, Bondergaard A. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Culhaci G. ⚽, Rothmann J. (A),
45+2', 1 - 2, Marcussen G. ⚽,
45+5', 2 - 2, Jensen M. ⚽, Rothmann J. (A),
45+7', 2 - 3, Marcussen G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Larsen S. ↓, Jakobsen M. ↑,
46', Culhaci G. ↓, Jakobsen N. ↑,
54', Kristjansson D. F. ↓, Buch O. ↑,
64', Gothler A. ↓, Jensen Tue C. ↑,
64', Larsen G. ↓, Dhaflaoui Y. ↑,
66', Jensen M. 🟨,
71', Rothmann J. ↓, Jalaei S. ↑,
73', Chacon M. 🟨,
74', Madsen W. ↓, Haarbo D. ↑,
74', Bondergaard A. ↓, Egelund P. ↑,
84', Mucolli A. ↓, Dall E. ↑,
84', Dahl A. ↓, Kudsk J. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 4, Marcussen G. (Pen),
90+7', 3 - 4, Gudmann M. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Køge won 0.

Køge is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fredericia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fredericia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fredericia is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Køge won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Køge won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
24.08.24	Esbjerg - HB Køge	4:1 ✺
20.08.24	HB Køge - B.93 Copenhagen	0:4 ✺
16.08.24	Hillerød - HB Køge	4:2 ✺
11.08.24	HB Køge - Horsens	0:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
06.08.24	FA 2000 - HB Køge	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- FC Fredericia
Danish 1 Division
25.08.24	Fredericia - Hvidovre	0:1 ✺
21.08.24	OB Odense - Fredericia	3:0 ✺
16.08.24	Fredericia - Roskilde	3:2 ✺
11.08.24	Fredericia - Esbjerg	4:0 ✺
02.08.24	Kolding IF - Fredericia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
16.03.24	Fredericia - HB Køge	2:2
27.08.23	HB Køge - Fredericia	0:0
13.05.23	HB Køge - Fredericia	2:2
16.04.23	Fredericia - HB Køge	5:1
03.03.23	Fredericia - HB Køge	3:0
02.10.22	HB Køge - Fredericia	0:1
18.03.22	Fredericia - HB Køge	2:2

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