Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Round 9

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday

Location: Monjasa Park (Fredericia)

Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Fredericia		Hobro

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.7	2.8	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.7
	2.29	3.7	2.75	Watch
	2.31	3.9	2.81
	2.26	3.78	2.79	Watch
	2.05	3.6	2.88
	2.27	3.8	2.77	Watch
	2.29	3.7	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.1)	3.72 ↑ (3.67)	2.78 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredericia
41.5%

Draw
25%

Hobro
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

25.7%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Hobro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Fredericia - Hobro Predictions

Users Predictions: Fredericia will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Birkso V. (G) 14. Dahl A. 5. Rieper F. 18. Juelsgaard J. 8. Jessen J. 7. Marcussen G. 13. Madsen W. 21. Lindekilde J. 97. Buch O. 16. Bondergaard A. 98. Mucolli A.	25. Dakir J. (G) 18. Sogaard E. 12. Jacobsen M. 13. Dietz F. 7. Klitten O. 11. Kristensen M. 17. Hyltoft Z. 10. Rasmussen V. 27. Klitten L. 23. Bruhn M. 14. Cornelius J.
Substitutes
3. Andersen A. 19. Dall E. 23. Eriksen M. (G) 20. Haarbo D. 17. Kristjansson D. F. 11. Opondo M. 2. Thogersen D.	9. Andreasen S. 3. Boge J. 28. Christensen L. 20. Compaore M. 4. Dorph O. 26. Hansen T. 16. Meedom O. 22. Nielsen M. 1. Sondergaard A. (G)
Coaches
Hansen M.	Thomsen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bondergaard A. ↓, Dall E. ↑,
60', Marcussen G. ↓, Opondo M. ↑,
60', Jessen J. ↓, Kristjansson D. F. ↑,
62', Lindekilde J. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Cornelius J. ⚽,
70', Cornelius J. ↓, Andreasen S. ↑,
71', Jacobsen M. 🟨,
82', Bruhn M. ↓, Compaore M. ↑,
82', Rasmussen V. ↓, Hansen T. ↑,
82', Juelsgaard J. ↓, Andersen A. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Mucolli A. (Pen),
90', Buch O. ↓, Thogersen D. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 2.

Recent matches Fredericia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hobro is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hobro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fredericia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 28-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredericia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fredericia
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.09.24	B1909 - Fredericia	0:4 ✺
Danish 1 Division
01.09.24	HB Køge - Fredericia	3:4 ✺
25.08.24	Fredericia - Hvidovre	0:1 ✺
21.08.24	OB Odense - Fredericia	3:0 ✺
16.08.24	Fredericia - Roskilde	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLW
- Hobro IK
Danish Landspokal Cup
10.09.24	Middelfart - Hobro	3:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
02.09.24	Hobro - B.93 Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Hobro - OB Odense	0:3 ✺
21.08.24	Vendsyssel - Hobro	0:3 ✺
17.08.24	Hobro - Hvidovre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
02.06.24	Fredericia - Hobro	0:1
20.04.24	Hobro - Fredericia	1:2
25.02.24	Hobro - Fredericia	0:2
23.07.23	Fredericia - Hobro	0:2
05.05.23	Fredericia - Hobro	2:2
23.04.23	Hobro - Fredericia	0:1
23.10.22	Fredericia - Hobro	0:0

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