Match Info

1st Division - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Monjasa Park (Fredericia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Iriskic F. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Finland	19:30	Viaplay
Norway	18:30	Viaplay
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay


	Fredericia		Hobro

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.50	7.50
	1.42	4.50	6.00
	1.46	4.50	6.10
	1.39	5.40	7.44
	1.44	4.84	6.1	Watch
	1.36	5.30	7.05
	1.39	4.54	7.57	Watch
	1.38	4.60	6.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	4.77 ↓ (5.15)	6.77 ↑ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredericia
66.7%

Draw
19.5%

Hobro
13.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.8%

17.9%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

17.1%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fredericia - Hobro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fredericia will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredericia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Fredericia (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredericia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Birkso V. (G) 12. Crone S. 3. Nygaard A. 5. Rieper F. (C) 16. Dauerhoj L. 20. Haarbo D. 13. Madsen W. 8. Bang-Kittilsen B. 10. Simonsen E. 23. Lindekilde J. 19. Bondergaard A.	25. Dakir J. (G) 20. Noshe A. 18. Sogaard E. (C) 12. Jacobsen M. 5. Kannegaard M. 27. Klitten L. 22. Huldahl M. 26. Hansen T. 8. Pedersen M. 11. Hauge R. 9. Christensen F.
Substitutes
22. Bunten F. 14. Dahl A. 9. Egelund P. 11. Hansborg E. 24. Jorgensen C. 18. Pyndt A. 44. Risom C. (G) 17. Thomsen N. 21. Vest O.	43. Breum A. 4. Dorph O. 47. Flak P. 19. Halilovic V. 2. Londal M. 16. Meedom O. 29. Obasi O. 1. Sondergaard A. (G)
Coaches
Hansen M.	Gjesing J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', Simonsen E. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Simonsen E. ⚽, Lindekilde J. (A),
13', Pedersen M. 🟨,
14', Jacobsen M. 🟨,
15', 2 - 0, Bondergaard A. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 3 - 0, Simonsen E. ⚽, Madsen W. (A),
45', Noshe A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bang-Kittilsen B. ↓, Jorgensen C. ↑,
56', Hansen T. ↓, Breum A. ↑,
69', Noshe A. ↓, Londal M. ↑,
69', Huldahl M. ↓, Meedom O. ↑,
69', Haarbo D. ↓, Hansborg E. ↑,
69', Simonsen E. ↓, Pyndt A. ↑,
69', Madsen W. ↓, Dahl A. ↑,
86', Bondergaard A. ↓, Egelund P. ↑,
87', Hauge R. ↓, Obasi O. ↑,
90+1', Nygaard A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 7th in the 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 3.

In recent outings, Fredericia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Hobro is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this match, Fredericia enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Fredericia has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:23 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fredericia against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.1:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fredericia	12	5	5	2	18:8	10	20
6	Hobro	12	4	3	5	15:22	-7	15

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Fredericia: 16.92% Hobro: 1.26%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fredericia
Danish 1 Division
10.10.26	Hillerød - Fredericia	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Fredericia - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Kolding IF - Fredericia	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Fredericia - Esbjerg	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Hvidovre - Fredericia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTTWL
- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
10.10.26	Hobro - Kolding IF	1:1 ✺
21.09.26	HB Køge - Hobro	5:2 ✺
11.09.26	Hobro - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Hobro - Hvidovre	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Hillerød - Hobro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
27.10.24	Hobro - Fredericia	1:4
16.09.24	Fredericia - Hobro	1:1
02.06.24	Fredericia - Hobro	0:1
20.04.24	Hobro - Fredericia	1:2
25.02.24	Hobro - Fredericia	0:2
23.07.23	Fredericia - Hobro	0:2
05.05.23	Fredericia - Hobro	2:2

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