Match Info

1st Division - Promotion Group - Round 30

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Hybel Arena Horsens (Horsens)

Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Horsens		Hvidovre

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.25
	2.15	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.19	3.52	3.42
	2	3.4	3.7	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.14	3.28	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.47)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)	3.35 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsens
44.1%

Draw
28.1%

Hvidovre
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.8%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

27.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Horsens's performance.

Hvidovre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hvidovre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hvidovre than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Horsens - Hvidovre Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Horsens will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Hvidovre will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Horsens: 64.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delac M. (C) 26. Palsson V. 35. Kupijbida M. 24. Kolskogen O. 12. Tape C. 17. Herdonsson A. 20. Lusavec K. 27. Ouorou Y. 14. Madsen J. 10. Kirkegaard K. 15. Justinussen A.	29. Ravn A. (G) 15. Iljazovski A. 25. Kiilerich M. 23. Clausen N. 30. Fredslund M. (C) 18. Knudsen M. 8. Krogstad F. 59. Elvius M. 10. Smed A. 7. Prip L. 20. Koch S.
Substitutes
22. Batigi J. 29. Brandhof F. 5. Bruus A. 4. Hausner S. 7. Milicevic I. 16. Moro A. 28. Saine A. 25. Sene F. 23. Smarsch D. (G)	24. Aby E. 4. Aliji Z. 21. Bedzeti H. 26. Blaesild R. 1. Brylov M. (G) 45. Egho M. 19. Johansen A. 28. Jungvig N. 14. Kjaergaard O.
Coaches
Zimling N.	Retov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Iljazovski A. ⚽, Prip L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Milicevic I. ↑,
57', Clausen N. 🟨,
59', Koch S. ↓, Aby E. ↑,
68', Smed A. ↓, Kjaergaard O. ↑,
68', Lusavec K. ↓, Moro A. ↑,
68', Kupijbida M. ↓, Saine A. ↑,
72', Knudsen M. ↓, Aliji Z. ↑,
83', Herdonsson A. ↓, Sene F. ↑,
83', Ouorou Y. ↓, Batigi J. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Milicevic I. ⚽,
90+5', Kjaergaard O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 1.

Horsens has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Hvidovre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hvidovre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Horsens will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Hvidovre IF: 25.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hvidovre IF	9	6	3	0	18:9	9	21

Last Results with these Odds

Horsens - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.4%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Horsens
Danish 1 Division
09.05.26	Horsens - Hillerød	4:0 ✺
30.04.26	Esbjerg - Horsens	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Hvidovre - Horsens	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Horsens - Esbjerg	4:1 ✺
17.04.26	Kolding IF - Horsens	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWTWW
- Hvidovre IF
Danish 1 Division
09.05.26	Hvidovre - Lyngby BK	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Kolding IF - Hvidovre	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Hvidovre - Horsens	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Hvidovre - Kolding IF	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Lyngby BK - Hvidovre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
25.04.26	Hvidovre - Horsens	1:1
21.03.26	Horsens - Hvidovre	0:4
04.08.25	Hvidovre - Horsens	0:0
23.05.25	Hvidovre - Horsens	1:1
06.04.25	Horsens - Hvidovre	1:0
20.10.24	Horsens - Hvidovre	2:1
30.08.24	Hvidovre - Horsens	3:3

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