Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 15

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday


	Frederiquense		Gaúcho

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.7	2.87
	2.48	2.72	2.92
	2.44	2.7	2.86
	2.49	2.91	2.89	Watch
	2.49	2.78	2.97
	1.83	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.83)	2.85 ↓ (3.3)	3.09 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frederiquense
38.5%

Draw
31.9%

Gaúcho
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

22.8%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frederiquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Frederiquense's form might have worsened.

Gaúcho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gaúcho's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaúcho than the current prediction. (-2%)

Frederiquense - Gaúcho Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gaúcho (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaúcho (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 0 - 2, ⚽,
82', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)

Frederiquense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gaúcho is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Frederiquense is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Frederiquense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Frederiquense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Frederiquense de Futebol
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
23.07.25	Inter Santa Maria - Frederiquense	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Aimoré - Frederiquense	0:0 ✺
16.07.25	Frederiquense - Real SC	1:1 ✺
11.07.25	GE Bagé - Frederiquense	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Frederiquense - Novo Hamburgo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTLT
- SC Gaúcho
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
23.07.25	Gaúcho - Brasil de Farroupilha	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Gaúcho - Santa Cruz-RS	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Passo Fundo - Gaúcho	1:0 ✺
09.07.25	Lajeadense - Gaúcho	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Gaúcho - Veranopolis	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
24.04.24	Frederiquense - Gaúcho	2:1
16.07.23	Frederiquense - Gaúcho	3:1
16.04.23	Gaúcho - Frederiquense	0:1

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