Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 14

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday


	Inter Santa Maria		Frederiquense

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.45	6.7
	1.45	3.36	6.73
	1.53	3.76	6.49	Watch
	1.47	3.52	7.42
	1.65	3.28	5.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.64)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	6.54 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Santa Maria
59.9%

Draw
26.2%

Frederiquense
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.7%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Santa Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Frederiquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Santa Maria than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Inter Santa Maria - Frederiquense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Inter SM (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Santa Maria will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter SM (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
76', 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Inter SM is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Frederiquense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Inter SM is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Santa Maria
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
20.07.25	Inter Santa Maria - Novo Hamburgo	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	Brasil de Farroupilha - Inter Santa Maria	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Inter Santa Maria - Santa Cruz-RS	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Aimoré - Inter Santa Maria	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Inter Santa Maria - Gaúcho	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWLW
- União Frederiquense de Futebol
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
20.07.25	Aimoré - Frederiquense	0:0 ✺
16.07.25	Frederiquense - Real SC	1:1 ✺
11.07.25	GE Bagé - Frederiquense	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Frederiquense - Novo Hamburgo	0:0 ✺
01.07.25	Gramadense - Frederiquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTLTL

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