Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 4

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Bodding E. (Nor)


	Fredrikstad		Sandnes Ulf

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.4
	1.58	4.2	4.9
	1.67	4.21	4.74
	1.6	3.7	4.6
	1.65	4.15	4.75	Watch
	1.61	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.15)	4.05 ↑ (3.48)	4.66 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
57.1%

Draw
22.9%

Sandnes Ulf
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

26.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.9%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fredrikstad's performance.

Sandnes Ulf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sandnes Ulf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fredrikstad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sandnes Ulf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Fredrikstad - Sandnes Ulf Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sandnes Ulf will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 3.

Fredrikstad in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sandnes Ulf is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fredrikstad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sandnes Ulf have a series of home games.

In this match Fredrikstad is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fredrikstad to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredrikstad won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.04.23	Mjøndalen - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
16.04.23	Fredrikstad - Moss	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Kristiansund - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.04.23	Fredrikstad - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Fredrikstad - Skeid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WTWWW
- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.04.23	Sandnes Ulf - Raufoss	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Sogndal - Sandnes Ulf	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Sandnes Ulf - Skeid	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.23	Sandnes Ulf - Egersund	1:4 ✺
25.03.23	Sandnes Ulf - Start	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.09.22	Fredrikstad - Sandnes Ulf	1:2
09.05.22	Sandnes Ulf - Fredrikstad	0:4
01.11.21	Sandnes Ulf - Fredrikstad	2:1
20.05.21	Fredrikstad - Sandnes Ulf	2:1
05.11.17	Fredrikstad - Sandnes Ulf	3:0
17.04.17	Sandnes Ulf - Fredrikstad	0:0
Club Friendly
25.02.17	Sandnes Ulf - Fredrikstad	3:1

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