Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 25

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Øster Hus Arena (Sandnes)

Referee: Hafezi M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Sandnes Ulf		Start

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.8	1.83
	3.5	3.75	1.83
	3.5	4	1.9	Watch
	3.74	4.05	1.87
	3.8	3.93	1.83	Watch
	3.4	3.8	1.8
	3.61	3.86	1.89
	3.6	4	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.95)	3.9 ↑ (3.81)	1.85 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandnes Ulf
25.9%

Draw
23.9%

Start
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

24.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

24.1%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandnes Ulf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sandnes Ulf's form might have worsened.

Start has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Start's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sandnes Ulf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Start, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Sandnes Ulf - Start Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sandnes Ulf will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Start will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mbaye S. (G) 24. Gayi E. 32. Latinovich V. 3. Berger E. 17. Nyhagen A. 22. Sakor V. 18. Oby O. 29. Roaldsoy A. 8. Moldskred M. 19. Braut D. 10. Hoiland T. (C)	45. Larsen J. (G) 4. Hansen S. 13. Griesbeck S. 5. Jensen N. 2. Palerud F. 7. Gronli S. 29. Vorsager W. 11. Schulze E. (C) 27. Begby L. 23. Isah M. 8. Grundetjern M.
Substitutes
9. Alba R. 28. Bertelsen N. 13. Flolid T. (G) 31. Hjorteseth I. 11. Kvernstuen J. 26. Memedov A. 5. Oregaard G. 25. Osenbroch E.	19. Dashaev D. 9. Hoven K. 20. Lorentzen H. 6. Makosso K. 44. Nkubiri S. 1. Torkildsen J. (G)
Coaches
Nilsen S.	Karadas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', Sakor V. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Vorsager W. ⚽, Griesbeck S. (A),
42', 0 - 2, Isah M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', Schulze E. ↓, Lorentzen H. ↑,
63', Griesbeck S. ↓, Makosso K. ↑,
70', Roaldsoy A. ↓, Memedov A. ↑,
71', Gronli S. ↓, Hoven K. ↑,
76', Oby O. 🟨,
78', 0 - 3, Isah M. ⚽,
80', Braut D. ↓, Alba R. ↑,
82', Begby L. ↓, Dashaev D. ↑,
82', Isah M. ↓, Nkubiri S. ↑,
85', Moldskred M. ↓, Hjorteseth I. ↑,
87', 0 - 4, Hoven K. ⚽,
89', Gayi E. 🟥,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandnes Ulf won 2.

Sandnes Ulf is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Start is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Start will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sandnes Ulf won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 33-44.

Including matches at home between the teams Sandnes Ulf won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.09.24	Moss - Sandnes Ulf	6:1 ✺
21.09.24	Sandnes Ulf - Sogndal	1:0 ✺
16.09.24	Aalesunds - Sandnes Ulf	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Sandnes Ulf - Vålerenga	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Kongsvinger - Sandnes Ulf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLL
- IK Start
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.09.24	Start - Åsane	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Stabæk - Start	2:3 ✺
16.09.24	Start - Levanger	1:1 ✺
02.09.24	Ranheim - Start	2:3 ✺
26.08.24	Start - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.04.24	Start - Sandnes Ulf	1:1
Club Friendly
16.03.24	Start - Sandnes Ulf	3:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.09.23	Sandnes Ulf - Start	1:0
16.05.23	Start - Sandnes Ulf	3:3
Club Friendly
25.03.23	Sandnes Ulf - Start	2:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.09.22	Sandnes Ulf - Start	3:5
18.07.22	Start - Sandnes Ulf	1:2

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