The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fredrikstad 23.6%
Draw 24.1%
Rosenborg 52.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.6%
25.6%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
25.2%
46.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Rosenborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosenborg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosenborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Fredrikstad - Rosenborg Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Rosenborg will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Fredrikstad (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Rosenborg is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Fredrikstad has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Rosenborg is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Fredrikstad: Kvile S.
(Knee Injury)
Nysveen J.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Rosenborg: Bakke J.
(Injury)
Nordli S.
(Thigh Injury)
Slordal E.
(Foot Injury)
Volden H.
(Injury).
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Fredrikstad has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:12 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fredrikstad against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Rosenborg
24
12
4
8
46:31
15
40
11
Fredrikstad
24
8
5
11
29:41
-12
29
Last Results with these Odds
Fredrikstad - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 28.56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.