Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 18

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Norway	TV2 Play
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
World	Onefootball


	Fredrikstad		Rosenborg

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.6
	2.7	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.75	3.34	2.73
	2.72	3.17	2.72	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.7
	2.72	3.37	2.61
	2.7	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.85)	3.26 ↓ (3.45)	2.66 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
35.2%

Draw
29.1%

Rosenborg
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

27.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25.9%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosenborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	13.6%	50%

Fredrikstad - Rosenborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Rosenborg will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenborg: 31% – 73.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Fredrikstad (1.97) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Fredrikstad (1.89) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Rosenborg (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Rosenborg (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rosenborg will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Rosenborg (votes: 10 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Fischer J. (G) 22. Woledzi M. 12. Fredriksen U. 15. Fall F. 16. Eid D. 11. Metcalfe P. 6. Owusu L. (C) 4. Molde S. 13. Sorlokk S. 9. Holten E. 23. Skogvold H.	1. Tangvik S. (G) 2. Reitan E. 4. Racic L. 23. Jenssen U. 19. Pereira A. 5. Zeidan M. 10. Selnaes O. (C) 8. Fossum I. 7. Broholm M. 18. Holm N. 9. Saeter O.
Substitutes
18. Begby L. 7. Faraas B. 40. Granaas E. 21. Hanstad J. 20. Ohlenschlaeger O. 1. Ovretveit O. (G) 5. Rafn S. 19. Shein R. R. 3. Skaret B.	39. Islamovic D. 45. Reitan-Sunde J. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 55. Sandrod E. 22. Sletsjoe H. 60. Slordal E. 17. Thorvaldsson I. 6. Vaananen S. 50. Volden H.
Coaches
Hagen A.	Johansson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Saeter O. ⚽, Zeidan M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Metcalfe P. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
62', Saeter O. ↓, Thorvaldsson I. ↑,
66', Sorlokk S. ↓, Ohlenschlaeger O. ↑,
70', Holm N. ↓, Islamovic D. ↑,
81', Woledzi M. ↓, Faraas B. ↑,
81', Molde S. ↓, Begby L. ↑,
85', Thorvaldsson I. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 2, Broholm M. ⚽, Racic L. (A),
90+4', Selnaes O. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 2.

Recent performances by Fredrikstad have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rosenborg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rosenborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Fredrikstad: Bjartalid J. (Knock) Kvile S. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Rosenborg: Reitan-Sunde J. (Inactive) Sahsah N. (Knee Injury) Volden H. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
24.05.25	Bryne - Fredrikstad	4:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
21.05.25	Lillestrøm SK - Fredrikstad	2:1 penalties ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.05.25	Fredrikstad - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Kristiansund - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Pors - Fredrikstad	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWW
- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
24.05.25	Bodø Glimt - Rosenborg	4:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
20.05.25	Kongsvinger - Rosenborg	2:3 ET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.05.25	Rosenborg - Haugesund	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Brann - Rosenborg	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Tromsdalen - Rosenborg	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
05.04.25	Rosenborg - Fredrikstad	1:0
27.07.24	Fredrikstad - Rosenborg	2:2
02.06.24	Rosenborg - Fredrikstad	1:1
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Fredrikstad - Rosenborg	1:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
11.11.12	Rosenborg - Fredrikstad	0:1
13.04.12	Fredrikstad - Rosenborg	1:2

Upcoming Matches