Match Info

Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 17

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Fredrikstad 2		Grei

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.8	2.5
	1.82	4.15	3.25
	1.72	4.08	3.23
	1.31	6.41	6.22	Watch
	1.9	4.05	3.07
	2.68	4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.58)	4.42 ↓ (4.5)	3.4 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad 2
49.8%

Draw
21.8%

Grei
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

20.4%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

20.1%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fredrikstad 2's performance.

Grei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grei might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad 2 than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fredrikstad 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grei than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grei could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fredrikstad 2 - Grei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Begby L. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Lysfoss Lovlund I. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Bile M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 3, Samrat A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Fredrikstad 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Grei is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fredrikstad 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
16.08.25	Ready - Fredrikstad 2	5:0 ✺
09.08.25	Fredrikstad 2 - Ørn-Horten	4:2 ✺
04.08.25	Flint - Fredrikstad 2	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Fredrikstad 2 - Lokomotiv Oslo	3:1 ✺
21.07.25	Stabæk 2 - Fredrikstad 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWL
- Grei
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
16.08.25	Ørn-Horten - Grei	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Grei - Ready	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Lokomotiv Oslo - Grei	3:2 ✺
26.07.25	Grei - Fram Larvik	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Flint - Grei	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
07.06.25	Grei - Fredrikstad 2	5:0

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