Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO SERGIPANO - ROUND 6

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	Frei Paulistano		Confiança

	1	X	2
	14	5.25	1.19
	11.77	4.63	1.22
	15.25	5.75	1.18
	15	5.2	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.01 ↑ (5.92)	5.21 ↑ (3.84)	1.2 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frei Paulistano
6.5%

Draw
17.5%

Confiança
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

23.5%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

23.2%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frei Paulistano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Frei Paulistano's form might have worsened.

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Confiança's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frei Paulistano than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frei Paulistano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Confiança, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Campeonato Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frei Paulistano won 0.

Frei Paulistano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Confiança is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Confiança is absolute favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Frei Paulistano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 8-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Frei Paulistano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Frei Paulistano
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
11.02.23	Dorense - Frei Paulistano	1:0 ✺
08.02.23	Sergipe - Frei Paulistano	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Frei Paulistano - Atlético Gloriense	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Frei Paulistano - América de Propriá	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Falcon - Frei Paulistano	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLTT
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
12.02.23	Confiança - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Confiança - Estanciano	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	Itabaiana - Confiança	2:0 ✺
21.01.23	Confiança - Atlético Gloriense	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	América de Propriá - Confiança	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
19.02.22	Confiança - Frei Paulistano	1:0
22.01.22	Frei Paulistano - Confiança	1:2
28.04.21	Confiança - Frei Paulistano	8:0
31.03.21	Frei Paulistano - Confiança	1:3
04.08.20	Frei Paulistano - Confiança	0:4
01.08.20	Confiança - Frei Paulistano	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.02.20	Frei Paulistano - Confiança	2:4

Frei Paulistano - Confiança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide