BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO SERGIPANO - RELEGATION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL
Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday
Dorense
Frei Paulistano
1
X
2
2.85
3.25
2.15
2.98
3.26
2.25
2.9
3.3
2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.91 (2.91)
3.27 (3.27)
2.19 ↑ (2.19)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dorense 31%
Draw 27.6%
Frei Paulistano 41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
26.6%
39.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Dorense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Frei Paulistano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frei Paulistano than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Campeonato Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs) and 7 in the zone Campeonato Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs)).
Dorense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Frei Paulistano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Frei Paulistano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Dorense won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Dorense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.
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