Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Freiberg		Wormatia Worms

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.1
	1.93	3.45	3.4
	2.06	3.4	3.25
	2.04	3.37	3.7
	2.25	3.1	2.88
	2	3.52	3.52
	2.06	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.2)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	3.3 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiberg
44.9%

Draw
27.2%

Wormatia Worms
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

26.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

25.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Wormatia Worms has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wormatia Worms than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Freiberg - Wormatia Worms Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Freiberg will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
15.10.22	Eintracht Trier - Freiberg	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Freiberg - Bahlinger	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Mainz II - Freiberg	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	Freiberg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	0:2 ✺
18.09.22	Ulm 1846 - Freiberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTWLL
- Wormatia Worms
German Regionalliga Sudwest
15.10.22	Wormatia Worms - FSV Frankfurt	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - Wormatia Worms	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	Wormatia Worms - Hoffenheim II	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Wormatia Worms	4:1 ✺
17.09.22	Eintracht Trier - Wormatia Worms	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLL

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