The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Freiburg 31.4%
Draw 24.3%
TSG Hoffenheim 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.4%
23.1%
52.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
22.2%
50.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.
TSG Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TSG Hoffenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSG Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSG Hoffenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Freiburg - TSG Hoffenheim Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Adamczyk R. (G) 19. Szenk N. 3. Axtmann A. 5. Stierli J. 2. Karl L. (C) 15. Schneider M. 4. Felde M. 22. Kolb L. 27. Nachtigall S. 20. Egli L. 9. Folmli S.
1. Dick L. (G) 9. Janssens J. 13. Douma W. 6. Diehm V. (C) 14. Doorn L. 4. Kaut L. 19. Steiner M. 26. Grimm J. 20. Gloning L. 25. Van Dijk N. 29. Cerci S.
Substitutes
8. Bienz A. 23. Birkholz L. E. 38. Reimann A. (G) 31. Scherer N. 24. Sigurdardottir I. 16. Stegemann G. 10. Vobian S.
3. Byrnak E. 16. Grabowska D. 23. Hahn C. 17. Harsch F. 7. Luyet N. 11. Natter L. 5. Rankin J. 27. Schmid J. (G) 8. Sinka N.
Coaches
Kapllani E.
Virsinger M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Douma W. ⚽, Steiner M. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Grimm J. ⚽,
15', 1 - 2, Kolb L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Kolb L. ↓, Bienz A. ↑,
63', Axtmann A. 🟨,
63', Gloning L. ↓, Harsch F. ↑,
64', Schneider M. ↓, Vobian S. ↑,
64', Nachtigall S. ↓, Birkholz L. E. ↑,
76', Janssens J. ↓, Hahn C. ↑,
76', Van Dijk N. ↓, Luyet N. ↑,
76', Folmli S. ↓, Scherer N. ↑,
76', Szenk N. ↓, Stegemann G. ↑,
88', Kaut L. ↓, Rankin J. ↑,
90+1', Grimm J. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2.
Recent form of Freiburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hoffenheim has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Hoffenheim is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 29:44. (average 1.5:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1.3:2.7).
Austria
Germany
Norway
Switzerland
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Adamczyk R. (G) 
Stierli J. 
Kolb L. 
Janssens J. 
Douma W. 
Sigurdardottir I. 
Byrnak E. 
Grabowska D. 
Rankin J. 
Sinka N. 
Kapllani E. 
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