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Current Win Probability
Freiburg 34.5%
Draw 26.3%
Werder Bremen 39.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
25.2%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
25.6%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg's form might have worsened.
Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Freiburg - Werder Bremen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Benkarth L. (C) 19. Szenk N. 16. Stegemann G. 18. Maas M. 2. Karl L. 6. Ojukwu N. 15. Schneider M. 4. Felde M. 22. Kolb L. 20. Egli L. 23. Birkholz L. E.
39. El Sherif M. (G) 15. Weiss M. 5. Ulbrich M. 23. Nemeth H. 2. D'Angelo C. 18. Hausicke L. 28. Wirtz J. 11. Sternad M. 7. Muhlhaus L. 31. Wieder V. 9. Desic M.
Substitutes
33. Adamczyk R. (G) 8. Bienz A. 7. Blumenberg T. 17. Csillag A. 9. Folmli S. 31. Scherer N. 24. Sigurdardottir I. 5. Stierli J. 10. Vobian S.
8. Arfaoui A. 22. Dieckmann R. 1. Fischer V. (G) 19. Matheis S. 16. Papai E. 20. Petermann L. 24. Schmidt L. 13. Walkling R. 6. Wichmann R.
Coaches
Kapllani E.
Kromp F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Egli L. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Egli L. ⚽, Birkholz L. E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Blumenberg T. 🟨,
64', Blumenberg T. ↓, Csillag A. ↑,
64', Wieder V. ↓, Arfaoui A. ↑,
64', Desic M. ↓, Petermann L. ↑,
69', Schneider M. 🟨,
74', Weiss M. ↓, Matheis S. ↑,
78', Stegemann G. ↓, Stierli J. ↑,
78', Schneider M. ↓, Bienz A. ↑,
78', Birkholz L. E. ↓, Folmli S. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Folmli S. ⚽, Egli L. (A),
84', Egli L. ↓, Scherer N. ↑,
84', Hausicke L. ↓, Dieckmann R. ↑,
85', Sternad M. ↓, Papai E. ↑,
90+2', Maas M. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.
Freiburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Werder is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:14. (average 1.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
Austria
Germany
Switzerland
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Benkarth L. (C) 
Ojukwu N. 
Egli L. 
Nemeth H. 
Sternad M. 
Desic M. 
Sigurdardottir I. 
Kapllani E. 
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