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Current Win Probability
Werder Bremen 34%
Draw 25.7%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
22.9%
53.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
21.1%
49.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Werder Bremen's performance.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Werder Bremen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer 04 Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayer 04 Leverkusen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Werder Bremen - Bayer 04 Leverkusen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. El Sherif M. (C) 15. Weiss M. 5. Ulbrich M. 23. Nemeth H. 2. D'Angelo C. 18. Hausicke L. 28. Wirtz J. 11. Sternad M. 7. Muhlhaus L. 31. Wieder V. 9. Desic M.
27. Repohl F. (G) 10. Gonzalez E. 2. Ostermeier S. 24. Turanyi L. 56. Vidal J. 19. Bender L. 16. Zdebel S. 6. Piljic K. 11. Kogel K. 9. Kehrer C. 21. Fudalla V.
Substitutes
8. Arfaoui A. 22. Dieckmann R. 1. Fischer V. (G) 19. Matheis S. 20. Petermann L. 4. Ronan K. 25. Szaraz L. 13. Walkling R. 6. Wichmann R.
8. Bartz P. 3. Friedrich M. 22. Grant R. 13. Haim V. 7. Kramer C. 17. Madl V. 18. Mickenhagen J. 34. Moll A. (G) 5. Wenger C.
Coaches
Kromp F.
Patzold R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Wirtz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Muhlhaus L. (Penalty Awarded),
51', Turanyi L. 🟨,
55', Hausicke L. 🟨,
60', Kogel K. ↓, Kramer C. ↑,
71', Wieder V. 🟨,
74', Wieder V. ↓, Arfaoui A. ↑,
74', Wirtz J. ↓, Dieckmann R. ↑,
77', Vidal J. ↓, Mickenhagen J. ↑,
77', Kehrer C. ↓, Madl V. ↑,
86', Desic M. 🟨,
90+1', Mickenhagen J. 🟨,
90+1', Zdebel S. ↓, Friedrich M. ↑,
90+1', Fudalla V. ↓, Grant R. ↑,
90+2', Muhlhaus L. ↓, Petermann L. ↑,
90+3', Sternad M. ↓, Wichmann R. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: ) and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 3.
Werder has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Bayer has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Werder won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).