Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 17

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Freiburg II		Mainz II

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.7	2.68
	2.36	3.75	2.76
	2.13	3.82	2.81	Watch
	2.27	3.48	2.6
	2.11	3.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.09)	3.72 ↓ (3.78)	2.72 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
41.4%

Draw
24.8%

Mainz II
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

24.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

24.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Freiburg II - Mainz II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg II won 3.

Freiburg II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Mainz II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mainz II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Freiburg II won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
07.11.25	Kickers Offenbach - Freiburg II	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Freiburg II - TSV Steinbach Haiger	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Freiburg II - Astoria Walldorf	6:0 ✺
19.10.25	Bahlinger - Freiburg II	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Freiburg II - Hessen Kassel	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWL
- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
09.11.25	Mainz II - FSV Frankfurt	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Mainz II	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Mainz II - Freiberg	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Sandhausen - Mainz II	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Mainz II - Balingen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
17.05.25	Freiburg II - Mainz II	1:3
16.11.24	Mainz II - Freiburg II	0:1
28.02.21	Freiburg II - Mainz II	3:1
19.09.20	Mainz II - Freiburg II	2:6
29.09.19	Mainz II - Freiburg II	3:2
18.04.19	Freiburg II - Mainz II	2:1
06.11.18	Mainz II - Freiburg II	0:0

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