Match Info

2nd Division - Promotion Group - Round 24

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Sundby Idraetspark (Copenhagen)


	Fremad Amager		Aarhus Fremad

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.15	2.55
	2.67	3.05	2.78
				Watch
	2.54	3.37	2.64	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.42)	3.19 ↓ (3.5)	2.62 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fremad Amager
36.3%

Draw
28.7%

Aarhus Fremad
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.7%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

26.3%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fremad Amager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Aarhus Fremad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fremad Amager than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Fremad Amager - Aarhus Fremad Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Amager will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Aarhus Fremad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Amager (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersen M. (G) 8. Andersen K. 45. Boateng C. 28. Brinch J. 12. Derrar H. 10. Holst F. 4. Langberg M. 20. Mortensen D. 21. Simonsen J. 77. Wielzen J. 11. Zohore K.	1. Kiilerich K. (G) 3. Agnarsson M. 14. de Claville Berthelsen M. 28. Egerton E. 6. Grube F. 27. Kirchheiner M. 17. Kubel M. 11. Lunding K. 9. Mikkelsen T. 4. Pisani A. 29. Segun
Substitutes
30. Dalsgaard H. (G) 2. Dupont O. 19. Heller M. 70. Johansen A. 25. Petraeus A. 7. Tosse K. 9. Zeqiri E.	23. Andreasen O. 8. Baekgard S. 70. Beluli J. 34. Denius S. 32. Hjaltason O. 24. Thorsen J. 30. Vedel-Birch Andersen C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Mortensen D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Pisani A. 🟨,
59', Mikkelsen T. ↓, Beluli J. ↑,
62', Boateng C. ↓, Zeqiri E. ↑,
65', Segun ↓, Hjaltason O. ↑,
65', Lunding K. ↓, Baekgard S. ↑,
76', Zohore K. ↓, Tosse K. ↑,
79', Kubel M. ↓, Andreasen O. ↑,
80', de Claville Berthelsen M. ↓, Denius S. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Egerton E. ⚽,
89', Simonsen J. ↓, Petraeus A. ↑,
89', Langberg M. ↓, Dupont O. ↑,
90+3', Kiilerich K. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amager won 1.

Recent matches Amager is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aarhus Fremad is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Amager won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Amager won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fremad Amager
Danish 2 Division
21.04.25	Næstved BK - Fremad Amager	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Fremad Amager - Thisted	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	BK Frem - Fremad Amager	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Fremad Amager - Hellerup	2:3 ✺
21.03.25	Næstved BK - Fremad Amager	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLT
- Aarhus Fremad
Danish 2 Division
19.04.25	AB Copenhagen - Aarhus Fremad	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Aarhus Fremad - AB Copenhagen	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Hellerup - Aarhus Fremad	0:4 ✺
29.03.25	Aarhus Fremad - Thisted	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Skive IK - Aarhus Fremad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
08.03.25	Aarhus Fremad - Fremad Amager	1:0
29.09.24	Fremad Amager - Aarhus Fremad	1:0
22.10.23	Fremad Amager - Aarhus Fremad	1:1
10.09.23	Aarhus Fremad - Fremad Amager	3:1
Danish Landspokal Cup
09.11.22	Aarhus Fremad - Fremad Amager	3:1
Danish 2 Division - Promotion Group
11.05.16	Aarhus Fremad - Fremad Amager	0:2
10.04.16	Fremad Amager - Aarhus Fremad	5:1

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