Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Relegation Group

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Skyttis IP (Örnsköldsvik)


	Friska Viljor		Boden

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.9	3.7
	1.72	4.05	3.69
	2.2	3.8	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.2)	3.92 ↑ (3.8)	3.31 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Friska Viljor
48.8%

Draw
23.4%

Boden
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

23.7%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

22.6%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Friska Viljor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Friska Viljor's performance.

Boden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Friska Viljor than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Friska Viljor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boden than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Friska Viljor - Boden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Friska Viljor won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Friska Viljor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Friska Viljor has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Friska Viljor won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Friska Viljor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Friska Viljor FC
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
20.09.25	Täfteå - Friska Viljor	1:4 ✺
06.09.25	Kiruna - Friska Viljor	2:4 ✺
03.09.25	Friska Viljor - Lucksta	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Boden City - Friska Viljor	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Boden - Friska Viljor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL
- Bodens BK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
20.09.25	Boden - Kiruna	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Lucksta - Boden	1:3 ✺
07.09.25	Boden City - Boden	3:2 ✺
03.09.25	Boden - Bergnäsets	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Boden - Friska Viljor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
23.08.25	Boden - Friska Viljor	2:1
24.09.22	Friska Viljor - Boden	2:1
26.05.22	Boden - Friska Viljor	0:1
16.10.21	Friska Viljor - Boden	1:1
07.08.21	Boden - Friska Viljor	1:1
05.09.20	Friska Viljor - Boden	1:2
18.08.18	Friska Viljor - Boden	1:1

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