The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Frome Town 26.1%
Draw 24.5%
Basingstoke Town 49.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
26.1%
44.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
25.2%
45.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frome Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basingstoke Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Frome Town - Basingstoke Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, Monks A. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Frome won 2.
Frome has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Basingstoke is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Basingstoke will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Frome won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.7:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Frome won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).
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