Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 9

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Hungerford Town		Frome Town

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.2	4.5
	1.52	4.4	4.6
	1.52	4.73	4.54
	1.54	4.69	4.94	Watch
	1.5	4.3	5
	1.52	4.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	4.45 ↑ (4)	4.7 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
60.1%

Draw
20.5%

Frome Town
19.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59%

23%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

16.2%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Frome Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hungerford Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frome Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hungerford Town - Frome Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 2.

Hungerford is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Frome has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hungerford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hungerford is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Hungerford won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
21.09.24	Hungerford Town - Plymouth Parkway	9:3 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.24	Hungerford Town - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Winchester City - Hungerford Town	1:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
10.09.24	Gloucester City - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Wimborne Town - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTLL
- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
21.09.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Frome Town	5:0 ✺
10.09.24	Frome Town - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Dorchester Town - Frome Town	4:0 ✺
26.08.24	Frome Town - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Chertsey Town - Frome Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern Premier League
16.04.16	Hungerford Town - Frome Town	4:0
07.11.15	Frome Town - Hungerford Town	0:2
07.03.15	Frome Town - Hungerford Town	1:0
18.10.14	Hungerford Town - Frome Town	1:1
08.03.14	Hungerford Town - Frome Town	0:0
21.09.13	Frome Town - Hungerford Town	0:2

Hungerford Town - Frome Town