Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)


	Fuenlabrada		Colonia Moscardó

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.8	3.2	4.15
	1.84	3.25	4.55
	1.83	3.39	4.09	Watch
	1.88	3.24	4.38
	1.8	3.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.82)	3.23 ↓ (3.28)	4.31 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
50.3%

Draw
28.4%

Colonia Moscardó
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

26.7%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Colonia Moscardó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Fuenlabrada - Colonia Moscardó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Llorente E. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Pesca R. ⚽,
45+3', Recalde N. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 3 - 0, Pesca R. ⚽,

Preview

Fuenlabrada has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Moscardó is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Moscardó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fuenlabrada is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Colonia Moscardó - the odds 3.96 are the expected chance of winning is 22.8%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.11.25	Conquense - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Fuenlabrada - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Real Madrid C - Fuenlabrada	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Tenerife B - Fuenlabrada	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Fuenlabrada - Socuéllamos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLWT
- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.11.25	Colonia Moscardó - Intercity	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Tenerife B - Colonia Moscardó	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Colonia Moscardó - Elche Ilicitano	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Las Palmas B - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - Getafe B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL

Fuenlabrada - Colonia Moscardó: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide