Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 10

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Colonia Moscardó		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.75
	1.82	3.25	3.9
	1.84	3.2	4.6
	1.90	3.29	3.80	Watch
	1.81	3.25	4.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.9)	3.26 ↓ (3.29)	4.05 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colonia Moscardó
49.5%

Draw
28%

Elche Ilicitano
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.8%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

22.8%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colonia Moscardó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colonia Moscardó that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche Ilicitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colonia Moscardó - Elche Ilicitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Abreu M. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Recalde N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 3 - 0, Siverio Toro M. ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Boayar A. ⚽,
81', 3 - 2, Houary A. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Moscardó is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.11.25	Las Palmas B - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - Getafe B	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Colonia Moscardó	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - Conquense	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWTL
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - Orihuela	2:5 ✺
25.10.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Elche Ilicitano	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Elche Ilicitano	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Elche Ilicitano - Las Palmas B	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Elche Ilicitano - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLT

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