Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fuerte San Francisco		CD FAS

	1	X	2
	4.40	3.50	1.65
	4.20	3.20	1.75
	4.96	3.67	1.67
	4.86	3.66	1.69	Watch
	4.85	3.60	1.64
	4.60	3.72	1.72
	4.65	3.60	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (3.45)	3.56 ↑ (3.1)	1.68 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuerte San Francisco
19.7%

Draw
25.7%

CD FAS
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

28.9%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

28.7%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuerte San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuerte San Francisco's form might have worsened.

CD FAS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD FAS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuerte San Francisco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD FAS than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD FAS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fuerte San Francisco - CD FAS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 1, Tejada R. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fuerte won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

FAS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, FAS is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fuerte won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:27. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fuerte won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 0.7:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	FAS	12	7	3	2	22:11	11	24
12	Fuerte San Francisco	14	1	6	7	9:23	-14	9

Last Results with these Odds

CD FAS - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 45.2%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division
30.08.26	Águila - Fuerte San Francisco	4:1 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético Balboa - Fuerte San Francisco	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Isidro Metapán	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Cacahuatique - Fuerte San Francisco	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Inter Santa Tecla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWTT
- CD FAS
El Salvador Primera Division
30.08.26	CD FAS - Luis Ángel Firpo	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
25.08.26	Cartagines - CD FAS	2:0 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
22.08.26	CD FAS - Águila	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
19.08.26	CD FAS - Municipal	1:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
16.08.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - CD FAS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
22.03.26	CD FAS - Fuerte San Francisco	3:1
25.01.26	Fuerte San Francisco - CD FAS	1:1
28.09.25	CD FAS - Fuerte San Francisco	3:0
27.07.25	Fuerte San Francisco - CD FAS	0:8
09.04.25	CD FAS - Fuerte San Francisco	0:3
12.02.25	Fuerte San Francisco - CD FAS	0:0
05.10.24	CD FAS - Fuerte San Francisco	4:0

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