Match Info

EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Fuerte San Francisco		Jocoro

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5
	1.7	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.61	3.81	5.5
	1.61	3.81	5.5
	1.44	4	6
	1.59	3.68	5.1
	1.59	3.7	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.85)	3.77 ↑ (3.3)	5.2 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuerte San Francisco
58%

Draw
24.3%

Jocoro
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

22.1%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuerte San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fuerte San Francisco's performance.

Jocoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jocoro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuerte San Francisco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jocoro than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jocoro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Murray C. ⚽,
61', 2 - 0, Canales L. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division
31.03.24	Fuerte San Francisco - Isidro Metapán	0:1 ✺
27.03.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Fuerte San Francisco	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Fuerte San Francisco - Águila	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LLTTW
- Jocoro FC
El Salvador Primera Division
31.03.24	CD Dragón - Jocoro	1:1 ✺
27.03.24	Jocoro - CD FAS	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	Jocoro - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Municipal Limeño - Jocoro	1:0 ✺
06.03.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Jocoro	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
28.01.24	Jocoro - Fuerte San Francisco	0:0
18.11.23	Jocoro - Fuerte San Francisco	2:3
24.09.23	Fuerte San Francisco - Jocoro	1:0

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