Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 9

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday


	Luis Ángel Firpo		Jocoro

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.5	3.9
	1.8	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.81	3.61	4.35
	1.81	3.61	4.36
	1.75	3.6	4.04
	1.76	3.6	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.93)	3.59 ↑ (3.3)	4.05 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luis Ángel Firpo
51.8%

Draw
25.6%

Jocoro
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.9%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.8%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luis Ángel Firpo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Jocoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luis Ángel Firpo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jocoro than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luis Ángel Firpo won 3.

Recent matches Luis Ángel Firpo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jocoro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Luis Ángel Firpo is a favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Luis Ángel Firpo won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 26-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Luis Ángel Firpo won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luis Ángel Firpo
El Salvador Primera Division
25.02.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Municipal Limeño	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Isidro Metapán - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Águila	2:1 ✺
07.02.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Luis Ángel Firpo	3:1 ✺
28.01.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Alianza San Miguel	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLL
- Jocoro FC
El Salvador Primera Division
24.02.24	Jocoro - Isidro Metapán	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Águila - Jocoro	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Jocoro - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:2 ✺
07.02.24	Alianza San Miguel - Jocoro	5:0 ✺
28.01.24	Jocoro - Fuerte San Francisco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
03.12.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Jocoro	1:1
30.11.23	Jocoro - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:0
15.10.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Jocoro	1:0
19.08.23	Jocoro - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:4
12.04.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Jocoro	2:1
04.02.23	Jocoro - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:1
19.10.22	Luis Ángel Firpo - Jocoro	1:3

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