Match Info
Primera Division - Clausura - Round 22Date: 1 May 2026, FridayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 El-salvador | TCS GO |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Fuerte San Francisco |
|
Alianza San Miguel |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.25 |
3.35 |
1.72 |
|
 |
4.3 |
3.41 |
1.77 |
|
 |
4.39 |
3.38 |
1.81 |
 Watch |
 |
4.49 |
3.36 |
1.72 |
|
 |
4.2 |
3.1 |
1.61 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.33 ↑
(4.2) |
3.32 ↑
(3.1) |
1.73 ↑
(1.61) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Fuerte San Francisco
20.8% | Draw
27.1% | Alianza San Miguel
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fuerte San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-4.7%)Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Portillo J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 68', Bello N. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )). Alianza is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fuerte won 0.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. In this match, Alianza is a strong favorite.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fuerte won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 9:26. (average 0.6:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Fuerte won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 7 | Alianza FC | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
|
|
|
|
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 9 |
Last Results with these Odds
Fuerte San Francisco - the odds 4.2 are the expected chance of winning is 20.15%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
Alianza San Miguel - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 52.56%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| El Salvador Primera Division | | | 07.03.26 | Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco | 3:2 | | 16.11.25 | Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel | 1:3 | | 14.09.25 | Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco | 1:0 | | 18.05.25 | Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco | 2:0 | | 15.05.25 | Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel | 0:1 | | 23.04.25 | Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel | 1:0 | | 26.02.25 | Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco | 2:0 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
