The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fukushima United 29.5%
Draw 25.6%
Fujieda MYFC 44.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
25.3%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
24.4%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Fujieda MYFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fujieda MYFC than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Fukushima United - Fujieda MYFC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
78. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 77. Chiba T. 17. Fujitani T. 29. Tsuchiya K. 23. Anzai T. 10. Harigaya T. 30. Kano K. 6. Uehata U. 7. Ashibe K. 9. Shimizu K. 8. Okada Y.
31. Kurisu D. (G) 16. Mori Y. 5. Kusumoto T. 2. Nagano S. 22. Hisadomi R. 17. Okazawa K. 14. Miki J. 13. Nakamura Y. 7. Matsuki S. 10. Kikui Y. 11. Manabe H.
Substitutes
32. Einaga T. 19. Fujita J. 18. Ishii R. 20. Izumi S. 11. Miura K. 14. Nakamura T. 26. Tanaka K. 5. Toma H. 22. Yoshimaru K. (G)
8. Asakura R. 21. Jones R. (G) 29. Kanda H. 18. Matsushita Y. 4. Nakagawa S. 25. Nakamura R. 30. Seriu K. 15. Sugita M. 9. Yamura K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
2', Mori Y. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Matsuki S. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Okazawa K. ⚽, Nakamura Y. (A),
34', Shimizu K. 🟨,
36', 0 - 3, Miki J. ⚽, Hisadomi R. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Hisadomi R. ↓, Asakura R. ↑,
46', Miki J. ↓, Sugita M. ↑,
46', Chiba T. ↓, Fujita J. ↑,
53', 1 - 3, Okada Y. ⚽, Shimizu K. (A),
57', 2 - 3, Shimizu K. ⚽,
68', Kikui Y. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
82', Ashibe K. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
86', Manabe H. ↓, Kanda H. ↑,
88', 3 - 3, Fujitani T. ⚽, Harigaya T. (A),
88', Matsuki S. 🟨,
90', Uehata U. ↓, Einaga T. ↑,
90+4', Mori Y. ↓, Nakagawa S. ↑,
90+4', Einaga T. 🟨,
90+5', Anzai T. ↓, Toma H. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Kanda H. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Harigaya T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Matsuki S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Nakamura T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Okazawa K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Okada Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Sugita M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Fujita J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Yamura K. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 0.
Fukushima United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fujieda MYFC is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Recently, Fukushima United has had a series of away games.
Fujieda MYFC will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Fukushima United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Fukushima United - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.78%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Japan
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Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 
Chiba T. 
