The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fukushima United 44.9%
Draw 26.3%
Nagano Parceiro 28.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42%
28.3%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
27%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fukushima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Fukushima United - Nagano Parceiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Yoshimaru K. (G) 37. Sasaki N. 3. Honda K. 5. Toma H. 28. Suzu N. 10. Harigaya T. 30. Kano K. 13. Higuchi A. 7. Ashibe K. 9. Shimizu K. 8. Okada Y.
21. Nakano K. (G) 26. Nakata S. 7. Ono Y. 13. Tsukegi Y. 4. Gyotoku E. 10. Yamanaka R. 22. Yoshida K. 40. Hasegawa Y. 8. Kondo T. 28. Fujikawa K. 18. Yoshizawa S.
Substitutes
23. Anzai T. 77. Chiba T. 19. Fujita J. 20. Izumi S. 11. Miura K. 27. Nozue S. 44. Okuda K. 1. Ueda T. (G) 66. Uehara M.
39. Ando K. 16. Ishii K. 14. Kutsuna K. 30. Nojima K. 51. Shimizu S. 19. Shoji H. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 25. Tanaka K. 3. Tomita K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Gyotoku E. ⚽,
21', Honda K. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Okada Y. ⚽, Sasaki N. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Honda K. ↓, Nozue S. ↑,
46', Nakata S. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Yamanaka R. ⚽, Yoshizawa S. (A),
52', Gyotoku E. ↓, Tomita K. ↑,
57', 1 - 3, Yoshizawa S. ⚽, Tomita K. (A),
60', Yoshizawa S. ↓, Shimizu S. ↑,
67', Kano K. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Shimizu K. ⚽,
78', Shimizu K. ↓, Izumi S. ↑,
82', Kondo T. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
82', Yamanaka R. ↓, Ishii K. ↑,
84', 3 - 3, Izumi S. ⚽,
90', 4 - 3, Okada Y. ⚽,
90', Suzu N. ↓, Anzai T. ↑,
90', Sasaki N. ↓, Uehara M. ↑,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 19th in the J3 League (Relegation) and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Fukushima United could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Nagano has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fukushima United holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Fukushima United has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:18 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fukushima United against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:9 goals (averaging 1.1:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Nagano
12
5
2
5
16:16
0
17
17
Fukushima Utd
12
3
2
7
22:27
-5
11
Last Results with these Odds
Fukushima United - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.02%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Yoshimaru K. (G) 
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