Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 11 May 2025, Sunday
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Fulgens Foligno |
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Orvietana |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
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 |
2.07 |
3.2 |
3.25 |
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 |
1.94 |
3.69 |
3.12 |
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 |
2.03 |
3.48 |
3.24 |
|
 |
1.98 |
3.43 |
3.64 |
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 |
2.07 |
3.2 |
3.25 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 (2.02) |
3.35 ↑ (3.19) |
3.3 ↓ (3.44) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Fulgens Foligno 45.2% | Draw 27.2% | Orvietana 27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fulgens Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Orvietana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulgens Foligno than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (-2.5%)Fulgens Foligno - Orvietana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Panattoni M. (Pen),
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Calderini E. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 2, Fabri F. ⚽,
Preview
In recent matches, Fulgens Foligno has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Orvietana is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins). Fulgens Foligno could have a small edge in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fulgens Foligno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).Including home match between the teams, Fulgens Foligno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;