Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 18

Date: 28 March 2023, Tuesday


	Fylde		Blyth Spartans

	1	X	2
	1.16	6.5	11.5
	1.2	5.5	8.5
	1.27	5.2	8.4
	1.18	6.85	15.3
	1.24	5	11
	1.18	6.5	13.75
	1.18	6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.68)	5.94 ↑ (3.68)	11.49 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
76.5%

Draw
15.5%

Blyth Spartans
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24.8%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

24.3%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fylde's performance.

Blyth Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blyth Spartans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fylde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blyth Spartans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	6.9%	20.7%

Fylde - Blyth Spartans Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Fylde will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Blyth will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fylde: 56.1% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fylde won 5.

Recent matches Fylde is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Blyth has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Fylde is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Fylde won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fylde won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League North
25.03.23	Fylde - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
21.03.23	King`s Lynn Town - Fylde	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Alfreton Town - Fylde	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Fylde - Darlington	3:2 ✺
07.03.23	Buxton - Fylde	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWT
- Blyth Spartans
English National League North
25.03.23	Blyth Spartans - Chester	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Brackley Town - Blyth Spartans	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Blyth Spartans - Boston United	1:4 ✺
07.03.23	Southport - Blyth Spartans	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Blyth Spartans - Fylde	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.03.23	Blyth Spartans - Fylde	0:0
26.02.22	Blyth Spartans - Fylde	0:2
04.12.21	Fylde - Blyth Spartans	4:1
English NPL Premier Division
16.04.14	Fylde - Blyth Spartans	5:1
01.03.14	Blyth Spartans - Fylde	1:1
English FA Cup
14.09.13	Blyth Spartans - Fylde	1:3
English NPL Premier Division
16.04.13	Fylde - Blyth Spartans	1:0

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