Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 24

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Blyth Spartans		Chester

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.19	3.34	2.25
	3.19	3.34	2.25
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	3.06	3.35	2.19
	3	3.3	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.64)	3.31 ↑ (3.31)	2.2 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blyth Spartans
30.1%

Draw
27.9%

Chester
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

27.6%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

27.7%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blyth Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Blyth Spartans - Chester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blyth won 0.

Blyth is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chester is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chester will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Blyth won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Blyth won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blyth Spartans
English National League North
16.12.23	Alfreton Town - Blyth Spartans	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Chorley - Blyth Spartans	2:0 ✺
English National League North
02.12.23	Rushall Olympic - Blyth Spartans	1:3 ✺
25.11.23	Blyth Spartans - Peterborough Sports	2:3 ✺
21.11.23	Blyth Spartans - Chorley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLT
- Chester City
English National League North
16.12.23	Chester - Boston United	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Chester - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
05.12.23	Chester - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
28.11.23	Rushall Olympic - Chester	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	South Shields - Chester	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
09.09.23	Chester - Blyth Spartans	2:1
25.03.23	Blyth Spartans - Chester	0:2
02.12.22	Chester - Blyth Spartans	1:0
12.03.22	Blyth Spartans - Chester	1:3
25.09.21	Chester - Blyth Spartans	5:1
08.02.20	Chester - Blyth Spartans	2:1
19.10.19	Blyth Spartans - Chester	2:2

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