The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Armenio 43.5%
Draw 31.8%
Argentino de Quilmes 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
28.9%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
28.2%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Armenio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Armenio's form might have worsened.
Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Armenio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Deportivo Armenio - Argentino de Quilmes Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lopez I. (G) 4. Troxler N. 2. Segovia I. 6. Medina L. 3. Perez I. 8. Almanza F. 5. Sica N. 11. Jerez T. 10. Herrera Jonathan N. 7. Nakache D. 9. Figueroa G.
1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 4. Filliol F. 2. Cosciuc F. 6. Velozo G. 3. Nunez T. 8. Guzman L. 5. Vega M. 10. Molina J. 7. Filosa L. 11. Rebecchi L. 9. Torancio E.
Substitutes
15. Avalos S. 14. Cardozo I. 16. Lagomarsino S. 20. Maldonado G. 17. Montani L. 18. Montero S. 19. Motta F. 12. Nistal N. (G) 13. Rodriguez C.
12. Busto F. (G) 17. Centurion F. 18. Di Marco V. 15. Escudero L. 14. Giordano A. 20. Guzman M. 13. Nunez D. 16. Ortiz A. 19. Stable F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Sica N. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Rebecchi L. ⚽,
27', 🟨,
44', Troxler N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 🟨,
53', 0 - 2, Nunez T. ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Perez I. ⚽,
71', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 2.
Deportivo Armenio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Argentino de Quilmes's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Argentino de Quilmes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Deportivo Armenio is considered a favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Armenio won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Armenio - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.94%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.