Match Info

Primera B - Round 11

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Barranca Quilmena stadium (Quilmes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Argentino de Quilmes		San Martín de Burzaco

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.98	3.35	Watch
	2.06	3.14	3.48
	2.09	3.08	3.46	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.1	3	3.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.34)	3.02 ↑ (2.91)	3.43 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino de Quilmes
43.4%

Draw
30.1%

San Martín de Burzaco
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

31.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

31.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Argentino de Quilmes - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 3. Benavidez N. 13. Cosciuc F. 11. Filliol F. 23. Filosa L. 14. Gomez M. 10. Guzman L. 7. Martinez J. 9. Oyarzun D. 2. Poza A. 8. Vega M.	1. Marchesi N. (G) 9. Chavez B. 7. Denis K. 10. Gauna N. A. 2. Lazarev R. 8. Lezcano L. 4. Modon S. 6. Orellana D. 11. Selpa E. 3. Siliman A. 5. Tobon J.
Substitutes
21. Castano S. 17. Ceccotti M. 12. Cheppi G. (G) 20. Compagnucci M. 15. Diez E. 25. Escudero L. 5. Martin A. 19. Molina J. 18. Pena D.	13. Barrera N. 16. Diaz R. 14. Escudero M. 15. Gonzalez R. 12. Jadli D. (G) 20. Serpa I. 17. Soria D. 19. Torres A. 18. Velazquez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Chavez B. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Guzman L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 2 - 0, Guzman L. ⚽,
67', Tobon J. ↓, Soria D. ↑,
68', Selpa E. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
71', Guzman L. ↓, Pena D. ↑,
76', Gauna N. A. ↓, Escudero M. ↑,
77', Martinez J. 🟨,
78', Benavidez N. ↓, Diez E. ↑,
78', Martinez J. ↓, Compagnucci M. ↑,
88', Vega M. ↓, Ceccotti M. ↑,
88', Oyarzun D. ↓, Escudero L. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Compagnucci M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 3.

Argentino de Quilmes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

SM de Burzaco is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.4:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Quilmes won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	San Martin Burzaco	38	12	14	12	39:41	-2	50
16	Argentino de Quilmes	38	9	16	13	30:37	-7	43

Last Results with these Odds

Argentino de Quilmes - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.15%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Quilmes
Argentinian Primera B
11.04.26	Villa San Carlos - Argentino de Quilmes	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Liniers	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Real Pilar - Argentino de Quilmes	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	Argentino de Quilmes - UAI Urquiza	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Villa Dálmine - Argentino de Quilmes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLTT
- San Martín de Burzaco
Argentinian Primera B
11.04.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Comunicaciones - San Martín de Burzaco	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Merlo - San Martín de Burzaco	0:4 ✺
15.03.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Camioneros	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
22.08.25	Argentino de Quilmes - San Martín de Burzaco	2:1
05.04.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Argentino de Quilmes	2:0
13.10.24	Argentino de Quilmes - San Martín de Burzaco	3:0
27.05.24	San Martín de Burzaco - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0
Argentinian Primera C
03.04.19	Argentino de Quilmes - San Martín de Burzaco	1:0
25.10.18	San Martín de Burzaco - Argentino de Quilmes	0:1
04.04.18	Argentino de Quilmes - San Martín de Burzaco	3:1

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