The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fénix 22.9%
Draw 30.9%
Deportivo Armenio 46.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
31.1%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
31.5%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fénix's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Armenio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Armenio's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fénix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Armenio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
66.7%
16.7%
Fénix - Deportivo Armenio Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Fénix will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Deportivo Armenio will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
1. Parra V. (G) 4. Martin Pereyra S. 2. Ferro G. (C) 6. Cordoba L. 3. Rodriguez J. 5. Diaz F. 8. Rizzo F. 7. Breccia R. 10. Perez P. 11. Silva D. 9. Anriquez D.
1. Lopez I. (C) 4. Cardozo I. 2. Segovia I. 6. Medina L. 3. Perez I. 8. Almanza F. 5. Lagomarsino S. 7. Troxler N. 10. Montani L. 9. Figueroa G. 11. Nakache D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Lagomarsino S. 🟥,
31', Ferro G. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Perez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cardozo I. ↓, Maldonado G. ↑,
46', Rizzo F. ↓, Vivas J. ↑,
56', Silva D. ↓, Florentin C. ↑,
56', Anriquez D. ↓, Arreguin E. ↑,
65', Nakache D. ↓, Villalva L. ↑,
83', 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fénix won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Deportivo Armenio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Deportivo Armenio might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fénix won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Fénix won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Fénix - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.45%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.