Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Deportivo Merlo		Fénix

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.5	6
	1.6	3.4	5.7	Watch
	1.58	3.3	5.92
	1.55	3.3	7
	1.59	3.35	6.42
	1.68	3.58	4.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.77)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	5.98 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Merlo
57.8%

Draw
26.9%

Fénix
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.9%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Merlo's performance.

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fénix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fénix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Deportivo Merlo - Fénix Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo Merlo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Merlo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Deportivo Merlo (1.56) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Deportivo Merlo (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Merlo (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez P. (G) 4. Aguerre F. 2. Zarza J. 6. Perez S. 3. Ordano A. 8. Quinteros E. 5. Ferreyra F. 10. Gonzalez F. 11. Benitez B. 7. Domke 9. Cao R.	1. Parra V. (G) 4. Bembo J. 2. Ferro G. 6. Rojas I. 3. Rodriguez J. 8. Diaz F. 5. Nizzo M. 10. Perez P. 11. Arreguin E. 7. Breccia R. 9. Vivas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Arreguin E. ↓, Breccia R. ↑,
45', Ordano A. ↓, Gauna I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Vivas J. ↓, Meridione A. ↑,
56', Silva D. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
65', Perez P. 🟨,
67', Gauna I. 🟨,
69', Gonzalez F. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
69', Domke ↓, Sineiro C. ↑,
77', Quinteros E. ↓, Casasola N. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Breccia R. ⚽,
88', Meza A. 🟨,
90+3', Anriquez D. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
90+5', Breccia R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 1.

Deportivo Merlo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fénix is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Deportivo Merlo is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Fénix - the odds 3.98 are the expected chance of winning is 22.8%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
12.07.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Deportivo Merlo	2:2 ✺
08.07.25	Deportivo Merlo - Liniers	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Merlo	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Deportivo Merlo - San Martín de Burzaco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWLW
- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
13.07.25	Fénix - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:1 ✺
09.07.25	Villa San Carlos - Fénix	2:2 ✺
05.07.25	Fénix - Real Pilar	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	UAI Urquiza - Fénix	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Sportivo Italiano - Fénix	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
01.03.25	Fénix - Deportivo Merlo	1:1
04.11.24	Deportivo Merlo - Fénix	1:0
18.06.24	Fénix - Deportivo Merlo	2:0
11.09.23	Fénix - Deportivo Merlo	2:0
06.05.23	Deportivo Merlo - Fénix	0:2
30.07.22	Deportivo Merlo - Fénix	0:0
01.04.22	Fénix - Deportivo Merlo	3:0

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