The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de Burzaco 57.4%
Draw 25.9%
Fénix 16.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62%
23.7%
14.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
23.2%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Fénix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
San Martín de Burzaco - Fénix Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Fénix (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fénix (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Navarro Montoya E. (G) 4. Escudero M. 2. Molina B. 6. Tobon J. 3. Siliman A. 8. Ortigoza M. 5. Benitez F. 10. Morales M. 11. Serpa I. 7. Modon S. 9. Chavez B.
1. Parra V. (G) 4. Bembo J. 2. Ferro G. 6. Rojas I. 3. Rodriguez J. 8. Perez F. 5. Nizzo M. 10. Perez P. 11. Breccia R. 7. Vivas J. 9. Anriquez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Serpa I. ⚽,
33', Camejo F. 🟨,
42', Denis K. ↓, Roberts D. ↑,
44', 1 - 1, Vivas J. ⚽,
45+5', Perez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 2 - 1, Chavez B. ⚽,
68', 🟨,
71', Escudero M. ↓, Siliman A. ↑,
71', Serpa I. ↓, Camejo J. ↑,
74', Vivas J. ↓, Meridione A. ↑,
74', Bembo J. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
77', Chavez B. ↓, Gimenez F. ↑,
77', Camejo J. ↓, Sergi L. ↑,
79', 🟨,
85', Hernandez B. ↓, Zeoliti T. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Camejo F. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 11).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, SM de Burzaco is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.