The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Armenio 37.8%
Draw 33.5%
San Martín de Burzaco 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
31.6%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
30.3%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Armenio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Armenio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Deportivo Armenio - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mugica J. (G) 10. Barrionuevo D. 6. Echeverria J. 9. Figueroa G. 11. Herrera Jonathan N. 8. Lagomarsino S. 2. Marchesini F. 3. Mosca N. 5. Ortiz B. 7. Suanez T. 4. Villalva L.
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 3. Barrera N. 8. Diaz R. 10. Gonzalez R. 2. Lazarev R. 4. Modon S. 5. Peralta R. 11. Serpa I. 6. Siliman A. 7. Velazquez R. 9. Zagert E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Modon S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Herrera Jonathan N. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Serpa I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Chocobar V. ↓, Lagomarsino S. ↑,
66', Gagliardo M. 🟨,
73', Velazquez R. ↓, Centurion C. ↑,
73', Zagert E. ↓, Gauna N. A. ↑,
77', Serpa I. ↓, Chavez B. ↑,
77', Barrionuevo D. ↓, Perez O. ↑,
80', Perez O. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90', Tello F. ↓, Gerez R. ↑,
90+2', Villalva L. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
SM de Burzaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Deportivo Armenio will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Armenio won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Deportivo Armenio
38
17
9
12
42:38
4
60
11
San Martin Burzaco
38
12
14
12
39:41
-2
50
Last Results with these Odds
San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.34%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.