The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de Burzaco 40.2%
Draw 31.6%
Deportivo Laferrere 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
31.6%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
33.5%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de Burzaco's performance.
Deportivo Laferrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Laferrere might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de Burzaco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Laferrere could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Laferrere Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 9. Chavez B. 6. Denis K. 11. Gauna N. A. 5. Gonzalez R. 4. Lazarev R. 8. Lezcano L. 2. Orellana D. 3. Siliman A. 10. Velazquez R. 7. Zagert E.
1. Morro M. (G) 8. Benitez A. 2. Cavoret I. 3. Denis J. 9. Moran J. 6. Nebot L. 10. Ortiz F. 4. Portillo B. 7. Romero F. 5. Trejo E. 11. Visco A.
Substitutes
13. Barrera N. 18. Costa L. 19. Cuenca C. 14. Escudero M. 20. Funes A. 15. Geneiro L. 12. Marchesi N. (G) 17. Peralta R. 16. Tobon J.
18. Atardo G. 16. Cantero M. 15. Digangi M. 12. Libares T. (G) 13. Mamani L. 14. Manzi N. 20. Rebecchi L. 19. Vega D. 17. Vivas N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Velazquez R. ⚽,
41', Zagert E. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Zagert E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Chavez B. 🟨,
52', Portillo B. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, ⚽,
60', 🟨,
62', 🟥,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, SM de Burzaco has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:26 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SM de Burzaco against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:12 goals (averaging 0.9:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Laferrere
38
13
12
13
46:50
-4
51
11
San Martin Burzaco
38
12
14
12
39:41
-2
50
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Laferrere - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.2%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Gagliardo M. (G) 
Tobon J. 
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