Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Fénix		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	2.75	2.05
	4	2.8	2.1
	4.09	2.78	2.12
	4.15	2.68	2.11
	3.8	2.88	2.05
	3.92	2.9	2.07
	4	2.8	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.32)	2.8 ↓ (3)	2.09 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fénix
23.2%

Draw
32.8%

Villa Dálmine
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

31%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

29.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Fénix - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Villa Dálmine (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cordero R. (G) 7. Ahumada I. 10. Anriquez D. 9. Auteri S. 4. Bembo J. 8. Breccia R. 6. Cordoba L. 5. Ferro G. (C) 3. Rodriguez J. 2. Rojas I. 11. Silva D.	1. Perafan M. (G) 6. Bojanich G. (C) 5. Fernandez J. 8. Garzino F. 2. Pollacchi M. 4. Puch M. 11. Pumpido F. 3. Ramon E. 10. Resquin M. 7. Schonfeld A. 9. Sellecchia F.
Substitutes
15. Aguilera U. 16. Diaz F. 13. Lugo K. 14. Martin Pereyra S. 17. Mayor J. 18. Meridione A. 20. Perez F.	17. Albano V. 16. Costantino F. 19. Forlani S. 15. Gualtieri G. 14. Martinez D. 12. Oviedo G. (G) 18. Prim S. 20. Vega D. 13. Zalazar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Anriquez D. 🟨,
23', Bojanich G. 🟨,
33', Ferro G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Ahumada I. 🟥,
57', Auteri S. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
57', Silva D. ↓, Lugo K. ↑,
62', Breccia R. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Perez F. ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, Sellecchia F. ⚽,
79', Fernandez J. ↓, Gualtieri G. ↑,
87', Anriquez D. ↓, Meridione A. ↑,
87', Cordoba L. ↓, Jimenez C. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 and 13).

Fénix is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villa Dálmine is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Villa Dálmine could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fénix won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Including home match between the teams, Fénix won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
26.04.25	Deportivo Flandria - Fénix	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Fénix - Deportivo Laferrere	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Liniers - Fénix	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Fénix - Comunicaciones	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Deportivo Armenio - Fénix	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLLT
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera B
27.04.25	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Laferrere	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Liniers - Villa Dálmine	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Villa Dálmine - Comunicaciones	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Deportivo Armenio - Villa Dálmine	1:4 ✺
29.03.25	Villa Dálmine - San Martín de Burzaco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
16.07.24	Fénix - Villa Dálmine	1:0
26.02.24	Villa Dálmine - Fénix	0:3

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