The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Liniers 53.5%
Draw 28.8%
Fénix 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
26.5%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
25%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liniers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Liniers - Fénix Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo H. (G) 4. Maciel E. 2. Gayoso E. 6. Pacheco O. 3. Canosa J. 8. Gridel M. 5. Torres J. 10. Penoni A. 19. Calo L. 9. Gimenez W. 11. Guallama D.
1. Parra V. (G) 20. Auteri S. 2. Martin Pereyra S. 6. Cordoba L. 3. Rodriguez J. 15. Zeoliti T. 5. Busto J. 10. Melivilo F. 11. Perez F. 14. Diaz F. 9. Breccia R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Torres J. 🟨,
29', Meridione A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Diaz F. 🟨,
63', Penoni A. ↓, Sallaberry I. ↑,
63', Perez F. ↓, Rizzo F. ↑,
63', Breccia R. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
63', Meridione A. ↓, Florentin C. ↑,
72', Rizzo F. 🟨,
74', Zeoliti T. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
75', Lopez R. ↓, Calo L. ↑,
78', Medina G. 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Sallaberry I. ⚽,
85', Sallaberry I. 🟨,
87', Diaz F. ↓, Auteri S. ↑,
88', Guallama D. ↓, Canosa J. ↑,
88', Chavez C. ↓, Reynoso R. ↑,
89', Gridel M. ↓, Santa Cruz M. ↑,
90+1', Gimenez W. 🟨,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 20).
Liniers in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Fénix is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Fénix could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Liniers is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Liniers to win the game is with odds 1.69.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Liniers won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Liniers won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0