Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Gévora		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.05	1.92
	3.83	3.17	1.97
	3.74	2.52	2.40	Watch
	3.72	3.1	1.96
	3.6	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.38)	3.03 ↓ (3.3)	2.04 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gévora
24.7%

Draw
30.3%

Don Benito
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

27.4%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

26.6%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gévora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gévora than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Gévora - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
78', 0 - 1, Copete N. ⚽,
82', 0 - 2, Salhi I. ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, Rocha H. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Gévora has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Don Benito is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Don Benito has had a series of home games.

Don Benito will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gévora
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.11.25	Santa Amalia - Gévora	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gévora - Azuaga	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Gévora - Jerez	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Calamonte - Gévora	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Gévora - Puebla de la Calzada	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTTWT
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.11.25	Don Benito - Calamonte	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Don Benito	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Don Benito - Jaraíz	2:2 ✺
13.10.25	Don Benito - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Don Benito - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTWW

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