Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 33

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Górnik 2 Zabrze		Polkowice

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.7	1.88
	3.4	4.07	1.91
	2.84	4.2	1.99
	3	3.6	1.91
	3.2	4.34	1.86	Watch
	3.45	3.55	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.45)	3.91 ↑ (3.55)	1.89 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik 2 Zabrze
28.6%

Draw
23.3%

Polkowice
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

24.9%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

24.1%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik 2 Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Polkowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik 2 Zabrze than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Górnik 2 Zabrze - Polkowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Wodecki M. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Kosiba B. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Plocica M. ⚽,
81', 4 - 0, Leszczyk K. ⚽,
83', 5 - 0, Kosiba B. ⚽,
90', 6 - 0, Leszczyk K. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik 2 won 2.

Górnik 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Polkowice is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Polkowice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Polkowice could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Górnik 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Polkowice	11	4	3	4	19:18	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Polkowice - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 49.43%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik 2 Zabrze
Polish Division 3 - Group III
16.05.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:2 ✺
13.05.26	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Miedź Legnica 2	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Skra Częstochowa - Górnik 2 Zabrze	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWLW
- KS Polkowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.05.26	Polkowice - Kluczbork	3:1 ✺
13.05.26	Pniówek Pawłowice - Polkowice	0:7 ✺
01.05.26	Polkowice - Ślęza Wrocław	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Carina Gubin - Polkowice	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Polkowice - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
08.11.25	Polkowice - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:1
25.05.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Polkowice	0:0
02.11.24	Polkowice - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:2
13.04.24	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Polkowice	2:0
17.09.23	Polkowice - Górnik 2 Zabrze	1:4
19.05.19	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Polkowice	1:4
28.10.18	Polkowice - Górnik 2 Zabrze	3:1

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