Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Carina Gubin		Polkowice

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.55	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 (3.65)	3.55 (3.55)	1.74 (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 13%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carina Gubin
24.2%

Draw
24.9%

Polkowice
50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

23.9%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Carina Gubin have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Polkowice have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carina Gubin than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carina Gubin won 1.

Carina Gubin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Polkowice is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Polkowice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Polkowice is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Carina Gubin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Carina Gubin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Polkowice	11	4	3	4	19:18	1	15
18	Carina Gubin	11	2	2	7	8:22	-14	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carina Gubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.04.26	Słowianin Wolibórz - Carina Gubin	1:1 ✺
14.04.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Carina Gubin	3:2 ✺
10.04.26	Carina Gubin - Ślęza Wrocław	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Carina Gubin	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Carina Gubin - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLTTW
- KS Polkowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.04.26	Polkowice - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Skra Częstochowa - Polkowice	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polkowice	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Polonia Nysa - Polkowice	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Polkowice - Miedź Legnica 2	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.10.25	Polkowice - Carina Gubin	2:2
18.04.25	Polkowice - Carina Gubin	2:1
Club Friendly
07.02.25	Polkowice - Carina Gubin	2:1
Polish Division 3 - Group III
21.09.24	Carina Gubin - Polkowice	0:1
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Polkowice - Carina Gubin	1:4
Polish Division 3 - Group III
25.11.23	Polkowice - Carina Gubin	4:1
05.08.23	Carina Gubin - Polkowice	0:1

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