Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu (Izmir)

Referee: Taskinsoy A. B. (Tur)


	Göztepe		Denizlispor

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.5
	1.55	3.8	5.25
	1.55	3.75	4.9
	1.56	3.75	4.9
	1.6	3.83	6.17
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.53	3.88	5.5	Watch
	1.59	3.9	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)	5.33 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Göztepe
58.7%

Draw
24.1%

Denizlispor
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24.7%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

17.7%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Göztepe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denizlispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	6.7%	26.7%

Göztepe - Denizlispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Göztepe will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Denizlispor will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göztepe: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Göztepe won 1.

Recent matches Göztepe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Denizlispor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Göztepe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Göztepe is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Göztepe won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Göztepe won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Göztepe
Turkish First League
23.10.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
19.10.22	Göztepe - Karaköprü	2:0 ET ✺
Turkish First League
16.10.22	Göztepe - Tuzlaspor	0:2 ✺
01.10.22	Pendikspor - Göztepe	3:0 ✺
18.09.22	Göztepe - Altınordu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLW
- Denizlispor
Turkish First League
22.10.22	Denizlispor - Altınordu	1:2 ✺
14.10.22	Boluspor - Denizlispor	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Denizlispor - Pendikspor	0:1 ✺
03.10.22	Erzurumspor - Denizlispor	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Denizlispor - Gençlerbirliği	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
31.01.21	Denizlispor - Göztepe	2:1
12.09.20	Göztepe - Denizlispor	5:1
03.02.20	Denizlispor - Göztepe	1:1
31.08.19	Göztepe - Denizlispor	0:0
Club Friendly
01.08.19	Göztepe - Denizlispor	0:0
27.03.19	Denizlispor - Göztepe	1:0
Turkish First League
20.05.17	Denizlispor - Göztepe	1:1

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