Match Info

Super Lig - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu (Izmir)

Referee: Guldibi O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Göztepe		Fatih Karagümrükspor

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.53	4.1	5.75
	1.48	4.16	6.32	Watch
	1.5	4.29	7.11
	1.49	4.29	6.79	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.55	4.27	6.6	Watch
	1.47	4	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)	4.1 ↑ (4.09)	6.44 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Göztepe
62.5%

Draw
22.9%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Göztepe - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Göztepe (1.87) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Göztepe will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Göztepe will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Göztepe (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lis M. (C) 3. Allan Godoi 5. Heliton 26. Bokele M. 2. Kurtulan A. 11. Bekiroglu E. 30. Dennis A. 15. Cherni A. 10. Olaitan J. 39. Janderson 9. Juan Santos	13. Grbic I. (C) 47. Esgaio R. 4. Biraschi D. 94. Cinar A. 33. Kurukalip C. 5. Kranevitter M. 8. Ozcan B. 70. Serginho 23. Larsson S. 72. Kalayci B. 80. Babicka S.
Substitutes
4. Altikardes T. 23. Bayir F. 77. Bayrak O. 14. Guilherme Luiz 19. Jeh 17. Kilicarslan E. (G) 20. Miroshi N. 6. Rhaldney 7. Sabra I. 22. Yildiz U.	88. Ahmed T. 99. Beklevic F. (G) 21. Cukur T. 6. Elmaz B. 24. Ersoy B. 32. Kadioglu M. 20. Kalpakli T. 15. Kone 17. Sivri A.
Coaches
Stoilov S.	Stanojevic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Serginho ⚽, Kalayci B. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Olaitan J. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Janderson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Babicka S. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
57', Kurtulan A. ↓, Bayrak O. ↑,
57', Bekiroglu E. ↓, Miroshi N. ↑,
59', Cinar A. 🟨,
62', Juan Santos 🟨,
63', Larsson S. ↓, Elmaz B. ↑,
63', Serginho ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
64', Kalayci B. 🟨,
70', Dennis A. 🟨,
74', Janderson ↓, Jeh ↑,
74', Olaitan J. ↓, Rhaldney ↑,
80', Kalayci B. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
84', Grbic I. 🟨,
87', Esgaio R. 🟨,
89', Juan Santos ↓, Guilherme Luiz ↑,
90+5', Elmaz B. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Göztepe won 1.

Göztepe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Karagümrük has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Göztepe is the undeniable favorite.

There are questionable in Göztepe: Antunes A. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Göztepe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Göztepe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Goztepe	7	1	3	3	15:15	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Göztepe
Turkish Super League
25.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
19.01.26	Göztepe - Çaykur Rizespor	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Göztepe - Samsunspor	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Gaziantep - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Göztepe - Trabzonspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWWL
- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League
24.01.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
13.01.26	Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
21.12.25	Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
22.08.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Göztepe	0:2
07.05.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Göztepe	3:1
19.12.21	Göztepe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1
20.04.21	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Göztepe	1:1
26.12.20	Göztepe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1
Turkish Cup
18.12.19	Göztepe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1
03.12.19	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Göztepe	1:2

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