Match Info

Super Lig - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul)

Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)

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	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	9	6	1.24	Watch
	9.85	6.89	1.21	Watch
	10.19	6.81	1.28
	9.45	6.69	1.25	Watch
	9.5	6	1.22
	11.5	7.09	1.25	Watch
	9.5	5.75	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.86 ↑ (7.9)	6.46 ↑ (5.57)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
9.6%

Draw
14.6%

Galatasaray
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

16.7%

71.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

15.8%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	15.8%	84.2%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75, 1st Half - Galatasaray (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 11 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Karagümrük (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Galatasaray (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Grbic I. (G) 47. Esgaio R. 4. Biraschi D. 29. Balkovec J. 33. Kurukalip C. 88. Ahmed T. 14. Doh M. 8. Ozcan B. 72. Kalayci B. 23. Larsson S. 70. Serginho	1. Cakir U. (G) 7. Sallai R. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. (C) 4. Jakobs I. 20. Gundogan I. 34. Torreira L. 11. Akgun Y. 8. Gabriel Sara 53. Yilmaz B. A. 45. Osimhen V.
Substitutes
99. Beklevic F. (G) 94. Cinar A. 21. Cukur T. 6. Elmaz B. 24. Ersoy B. 11. Johnson D. 32. Kadioglu M. 20. Kalpakli T. 15. Kone 17. Sivri A.	23. Ayhan K. 17. Elmali E. 33. Gurpuz G. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 9. Icardi M. 88. Karatas K. 21. Kutucu A. 99. Lemina M. 10. Sane L. 12. Sen B. (G)
Coaches
Stanojevic A.	Buruk O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Gabriel Sara ⚽, Gundogan I. (A),
23', Jakobs I. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Kalayci B. ⚽, Serginho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Torreira L. ↓, Lemina M. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Gabriel Sara ⚽, Sallai R. (A),
55', 1 - 3, Osimhen V. ⚽, Gundogan I. (A),
64', Doh M. ↓, Elmaz B. ↑,
64', Serginho ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
64', Akgun Y. ↓, Elmali E. ↑,
64', Jakobs I. ↓, Karatas K. ↑,
68', Yilmaz B. A. 🟨,
70', Sallai R. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
77', Larsson S. ↓, Kone ↑,
79', Osimhen V. ↓, Ayhan K. ↑,
85', Kalayci B. ↓, Kalpakli T. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1.

Karagümrük is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Galatasaray has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Galatasaray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Galatasaray has had a series of home games.

In this match, Galatasaray is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Karagümrük: Kranevitter M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M. (Suspended) Singo W. (Muscle Injury) Unyay A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Karagümrük: Camacho J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Galatasaray: Torreira L. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	16:11	5	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League
17.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
13.01.26	Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
21.12.25	Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLLT
- Galatasaray
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Galatasaray - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
17.01.26	Galatasaray - Gaziantep	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
13.01.26	Fethiyespor - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super Cup
10.01.26	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Galatasaray - Trabzonspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
15.08.25	Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:0
12.05.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray	2:3
Turkish Cup
29.02.24	Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2
Turkish Super League
20.12.23	Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0
23.04.23	Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:3
28.10.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray	0:2
02.04.22	Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:0

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