Match Info

Super Lig - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Kalyon Stadyumu (Gaziantep)

Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Gaziantep		Göztepe

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.36	3.26	2.18
	3.53	3.33	2.22
	3.26	3.28	2.27	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	3.37	3.37	2.29	Watch
	3.33	3.2	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.61)	3.25 ↓ (3.41)	2.21 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gaziantep
28.2%

Draw
29.1%

Göztepe
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.7%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gaziantep's form might have worsened.

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Göztepe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gaziantep, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Göztepe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	6.7%	53.3%

Gaziantep - Göztepe Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Göztepe will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göztepe: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaziantep (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Göztepe (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Göztepe (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaziantep (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Göztepe (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Gorgen Z. (G) 2. Perez L. 17. Guler S. 4. Kizildag A. 77. Rodrigues K. 10. Kozlowski K. 61. Ozcicek O. 3. Camara D. 18. Sorescu D. 9. Bayo M. 21. Boateng E.	1. Lis M. (G) 4. Altikardes T. 5. Heliton 26. Bokele M. 2. Kurtulan A. 30. Dennis A. 20. Miroshi N. 15. Cherni A. 10. Olaitan J. 9. Juan Santos 39. Janderson
Substitutes
14. Abena M. 7. Bacuna J. 71. Bozan M. (G) 26. Kalin A. O. 27. Kulasin E. 11. Lungoyi C. 38. Nizet R.	3. Allan Godoi 23. Bayir F. 77. Bayrak O. 11. Bekiroglu E. 33. Durakcay T. 17. Kilicarslan E. (G) 12. Koybasi I. 13. Ruan Teixeira 7. Sabra I.
Coaches
Yilmaz B.	Stoilov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Rodrigues K. 🟨,
21', Janderson 🟨,
37', Ozcicek O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Boateng E. 🟨,
65', Bayo M. (Penalty Awarded),
69', 0 - 1, Janderson ⚽, Cherni A. (A),
74', Sorescu D. ↓, Lungoyi C. ↑,
75', Olaitan J. ↓, Bekiroglu E. ↑,
78', Ozcicek O. ↓, Bacuna J. ↑,
88', Juan Santos ↓, Allan Godoi ↑,
88', Miroshi N. 🟨,
88', Miroshi N. ↓, Bayir F. ↑,
90+4', Janderson ↓, Sabra I. ↑,
90+4', Cherni A. ↓, Bayrak O. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 1.

In recent matches, Gaziantep has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Göztepe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A. (Knee Injury) Gunes M. (Suspended) Kabadayi Y. (Yellow Cards) M'Bakata S. (Knee Injury) Maxim A. (Yellow Cards) Ndiaye B. (Yellow Cards) Sangare N. (Suspended)

There will not play in Göztepe: Rhaldney (Red Card) Yildiz U. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Gaziantep: Camara D. (Injury) Kabasakal M. (Injury) Sanuc T. T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Göztepe: Sabra I. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gaziantep won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Gaziantep - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36.16%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gaziantep FK
Turkish Super League
08.12.25	Beşiktaş - Gaziantep	2:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.25	Yalova FK 77 SK - Gaziantep	0:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
29.11.25	Gaziantep - Eyüpspor	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Kayserispor - Gaziantep	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Gaziantep - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWLWT
- Göztepe
Turkish Super League
07.12.25	Göztepe - Trabzonspor	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Antalyaspor - Göztepe	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Göztepe - Kocaelispor	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Kasımpaşa - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Göztepe - Gençlerbirliği	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
07.04.25	Göztepe - Gaziantep	1:1
Turkish Cup
06.02.25	Göztepe - Gaziantep	1:0
Turkish Super League
01.11.24	Gaziantep - Göztepe	2:1
23.04.22	Gaziantep - Göztepe	1:1
06.12.21	Göztepe - Gaziantep	2:1
08.02.21	Gaziantep - Göztepe	2:0
26.09.20	Göztepe - Gaziantep	2:2

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