The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
GBK Kokkola 62.8%
Draw 18.6%
JS Hercules 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.7%
22.3%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.3%
19.9%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GBK Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GBK Kokkola's performance.
JS Hercules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and JS Hercules might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GBK Kokkola than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GBK Kokkola that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JS Hercules than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that JS Hercules could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
GBK Kokkola - JS Hercules Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lazarev S. (C) 23. Bjorkgren A. 9. de Sousa S. 11. Felipe Zuca 20. Hirvikoski N. 47. Hulden S. 22. Kukkola E. 8. Luokkala V. 72. Maldonado T. 10. Moraes L. 17. Ojala J.
12. Tynjala O. (G) 27. Attah S. 30. Jauhiainen A. 6. Karppelin A. 20. Karsama J. 2. Keskitalo E. 13. Kotilainen E. 91. Lehtosaari S. 29. Riihiaho A. (C) 10. Sarajarvi K. 11. Ukura S.
Substitutes
37. Enlund R. 6. Hanhisuanto J. 7. Hanhisuanto J. 25. Ingerstrom J. (G) 44. Kangas A. 32. Tuikkanen R. 99. Vinicio M.
5. Haapalainen N. 8. Huitsi E. 23. Pahti A. 22. Salmela E. 28. Tervaoja S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (5 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Felipe Zuca ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, de Sousa S. ⚽,
11', 3 - 0, de Sousa S. ⚽,
20', Karppelin A. 🟨,
28', 4 - 0, Moraes L. ⚽,
36', 5 - 0, Maldonado T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Jauhiainen A. ↓, Pahti A. ↑,
53', Karppelin A. ↓, Haapalainen N. ↑,
53', Attah S. ↓, Tervaoja S. ↑,
61', Sarajarvi K. ↓, Huitsi E. ↑,
62', Karsama J. ↓, Salmela E. ↑,
62', 🟨,
65', 6 - 0, (Own goal),
66', Hirvikoski N. ↓, Hanhisuanto J. ↑,
66', de Sousa S. ↓, Vinicio M. ↑,
74', Moraes L. ↓, Enlund R. ↑,
75', Hulden S. ↓, Hanhisuanto J. ↑,
80', 7 - 0, Felipe Zuca ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ) and 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GBK won 4.
GBK has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
JS Hercules is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, GBK is considered a favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, GBK won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 1.6:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, GBK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 2.6:2.2).
Finland
Watch
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Lazarev S. (C) 
Bjorkgren A. 
de Sousa S. 
Felipe Zuca 
Maldonado T. 
Attah S. 
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