The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Frederiquense 34.9%
Draw 32.6%
Brasil de Pelotas 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
30.5%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
29.5%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frederiquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Frederiquense - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
Recent performances by Frederiquense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Brasil de Pelotas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Frederiquense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Frederiquense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Brasil de Pelotas - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 34.76%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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